Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcab8…c012
crypto · 317 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses242 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)317 / 317
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day54.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$12
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 -6.5% -15.4% 78% 27% -13.9%
≤30d 317 -6.2% -15.1% 76% 31% -13.9%
≤90d 317 -6.2% -15.1% 76% 31% -13.9%
all 317 -6.2% -15.1% 76% 31% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 31% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 12% -22.1%
15% -30.6% 5% -29.6%
20% -37.4% 3% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 886 history records