Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcaba…48af
crypto · 1641 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$127 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1531 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1653 / 1641
History coverage20d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day85.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 1653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$154
14 days−$231
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -263%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$44
other 14% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 -8.7% -17.4% 74% 10% -25.3%
≤30d 1653 -1.1% -10.5% 93% 5% -10.1%
≤90d 1653 -1.1% -10.5% 93% 5% -10.1%
all 1653 -1.1% -10.5% 93% 5% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 5% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 1% -18.7%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.6%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.66 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records