Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcae6…4f85
sports · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$366,684 +51%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37,424 · open +$114
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,957
Realized+$37,424
Unrealized+$114
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses75 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$7,900
Open positions1
Markets (closed)104 / 87
History coverage19d
Avg bet$8,256
Trades / day182.8
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,889
7 days+$17,274
14 days+$29,271
30 days+$37,424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 86¢ 90¢ $2,843 $2,957 +$114 (+4%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 43¢ 0¢ $2,304 $0 −$2,304 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 1¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 88¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 80¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Invictus Gaming 0¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A Nix Team 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 80¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Oh My God 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 93¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner LGD Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $436 $0 −$436 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 84¢ 0¢ $573 $0 −$573 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $27 −$1,009 -3712%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $13 +$6,359 +47993%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $0 −$142 -60402%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $28 −$91 -323%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Grou Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$25 -383%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $148 −$3,018 -2044%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 14 $0 +$55 +48154%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 +$1,170 +13425%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$14 -244%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $11 +$11 +96%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -102%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $4 +$480 +11302%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $0 +$32 +66052%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -91%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $23 +$415 +1788%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $7,444 +$700 +9%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $13,468 +$159 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,956 −$42 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $11,054 +$2,021 +18%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $7,777 −$874 -11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $3,551 −$1,170 -33%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4,150 +$524 +13%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $16,794 +$2,237 +13%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $11,349 −$550 -5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $17,597 −$379 -2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $13,828 +$3,068 +22%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $7,412 −$929 -12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,071 −$212 -10%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $18,704 +$1,792 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $12,141 −$53 -0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6,775 +$405 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17,213 +$243 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $7,520 +$867 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20,671 +$620 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $14,099 +$3,814 +27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $7,797 +$258 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5,005 +$595 +12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,902 −$11 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,877 +$121 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,957 +$176 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $8,132 +$349 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,977 +$969 +24%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,506 +$582 +13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10,688 +$557 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $11,230 +$388 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10,326 −$1,340 -13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $15,234 −$807 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$33,347
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $4,071 10m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $10 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $74 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $22 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $2 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $890 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $15 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $100 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $19 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $10 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $5 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $1,000 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $99 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $18 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $220 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $10 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $1,766 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $1,766 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $1,549 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $1,730 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $118 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $10 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 20¢ $80 18m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $21 18m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $7 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+86.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +265.1% +230.3% 51% 34% -4.1%
≤30d 104 +106.4% +86.8% 72% 27% -4.4%
≤90d 104 +106.4% +86.8% 72% 27% -4.4%
all 104 +106.4% +86.8% 72% 27% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover182.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +86.8% 27% -4.4%
10% +68.9% 12% -13.5%
15% ← realistic here +52.6% 9% -21.9%
20% +37.6% 7% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,956.67 · official $2,956.67 (match) · 3500 history records