Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcaf7…607d
crypto · 1747 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1721 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1753 / 1747
History coverage70d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1753 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$7
14 days−$3
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 100¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 100¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -4.1% -13.2% 95% 0% -11.0%
≤30d 303 -1.7% -11.1% 97% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1753 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -9.7%
all 1753 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.04 · official $6.04 (match) · 3500 history records