Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcaf9…3cf7
crypto · 301 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$658 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$658 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$658
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses132 / 169
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)301 / 301
History coverage10d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day122.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$662
7 days−$558
14 days−$658
30 days−$658
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$104 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$23 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$15 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$23 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$16 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$25 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$65 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$652
sports 0% −$1
finance 0% −$2
other 0% −$1
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $124 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 -16.0% -24.0% 44% 36% -18.6%
≤30d 301 -15.3% -23.4% 44% 37% -19.5%
≤90d 301 -15.3% -23.4% 44% 37% -19.5%
all 301 -15.3% -23.4% 44% 37% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 37% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 30% -27.2%
15% -37.4% 25% -34.3%
20% -43.5% 22% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1503 history records