Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb00…2608
crypto · 995 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses884 / 110
Open positions1
Markets (closed)994 / 995
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day296.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 994 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 88¢ 86¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 93¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 88¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 95¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 81¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 97¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 97¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 74¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 93¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 91¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$10
other 9% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 994 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 28% -10.7%
≤30d 994 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 28% -10.7%
≤90d 994 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 28% -10.7%
all 994 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 28% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover296.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 28% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 11% -19.3%
15% -27.1% 5% -27.1%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.97 · official $0.97 (match) · 2022 history records