Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:44:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb01…7dfb
sports · 152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15,505 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,376 · open +$1,525
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59,929
Realized+$14,376
Unrealized+$1,525
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses77 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$284
Open positions46
Markets (closed)122 / 152
History coverage4d
Avg bet$502
Trades / day870.8
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 46 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,848
7 days+$14,376
14 days+$14,376
30 days+$14,376
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 91¢ 99¢ $22,092 $24,094 +$2,002 (+9%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 90¢ 99¢ $15,177 $16,745 +$1,568 (+10%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 89¢ 61¢ $5,501 $3,776 −$1,726 (-31%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 17¢ 40¢ $894 $2,104 +$1,210 (+135%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 80¢ 90¢ $1,879 $2,090 +$211 (+11%)
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 98¢ 100¢ $1,638 $1,669 +$32 (+2%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 39¢ $140 $1,389 +$1,249 (+890%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 86¢ 100¢ $731 $848 +$117 (+16%)
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 19¢ 60¢ $200 $636 +$436 (+218%)
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 87¢ 99¢ $555 $631 +$76 (+14%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 95¢ 54¢ $912 $514 −$398 (-44%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 93¢ 100¢ $446 $480 +$34 (+8%)
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 83¢ 98¢ $399 $470 +$71 (+18%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 90¢ 90¢ $432 $434 +$2 (+1%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 93¢ 100¢ $382 $411 +$28 (+7%)
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 94¢ 96¢ $362 $368 +$6 (+2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 96¢ 99¢ $346 $355 +$10 (+3%)
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? No 66¢ 84¢ $273 $348 +$75 (+28%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $324 $303 −$21 (-6%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 36¢ 62¢ $163 $282 +$119 (+73%)
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 97¢ 100¢ $205 $209 +$5 (+2%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 57¢ 80¢ $128 $179 +$51 (+39%)
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 19¢ 12¢ $219 $130 −$89 (-41%)
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 48¢ 60¢ $91 $114 +$23 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 21¢ 56¢ $42 $113 +$71 (+169%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $858 +$127 +15%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $353 +$7 +2%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $911 +$992 +109%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $1,090 +$209 +19%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $447 +$34 +8%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $1,538 +$62 +4%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $247 −$27 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $425 +$75 +18%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $657 +$95 +14%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 14 $114 +$6 +5%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $197 +$3 +2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp Jun 14 $59 +$1 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $33 +$147 +442%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,294 +$121 +9%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $935 +$65 +7%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $163 +$195 +119%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1,913 −$114 -6%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $3,170 +$190 +6%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $199 +$59 +30%
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $1,004 +$6 +1%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $192 +$158 +82%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $750 +$50 +7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $117 +$3 +3%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $131 −$131 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $219 +$21 +10%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $4,797 −$10 -0%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $189 +$11 +6%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $36 +$4 +11%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $424 +$56 +13%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1,336 +$344 +26%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $327 +$33 +10%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $274 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $4,909 −$709 -14%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $278 +$2 +1%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $348 +$42 +12%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $1,399 +$41 +3%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $350 +$10 +3%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,483 +$762 +51%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $336 +$24 +7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$11,855
other 20% +$3,935
politics 2% +$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs BUY OLDBOYS- 1¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs BUY OLDBOYS- 1¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs BUY OLDBOYS- 1¢ $1 0m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 95¢ $114 1m
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 97¢ $10 4m
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 97¢ $48 5m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 94¢ $5 6m
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 94¢ $23 6m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 5¢ $2 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -15.3% -23.4% 63% 20% +9.1%
≤30d 122 -15.3% -23.4% 63% 20% +9.1%
≤90d 122 -15.3% -23.4% 63% 20% +9.1%
all 122 -15.3% -23.4% 63% 20% +9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover870.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 20% +9.1%
10% -30.7% 8% -1.4%
15% ← realistic here -37.4% 6% -10.9%
20% -43.5% 6% -19.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59,929.17 · official $59,929.95 (match) · 3500 history records