Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb26…4c9c
crypto · 1612 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$3,885 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,884 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$3,884
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses805 / 499
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1304 / 1612
History coverage6d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day471.3
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$380
7 days+$3,884
14 days+$3,884
30 days+$3,884
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 49¢ 52¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,384
sports 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $18 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $18 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $18 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1304 +21.6% +10.1% 62% 62% +8.4%
≤30d 1304 +21.6% +10.1% 62% 62% +8.4%
≤90d 1304 +21.6% +10.1% 62% 62% +8.4%
all 1304 +21.6% +10.1% 62% 62% +8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover471.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.1% 62% +8.4%
10% ← realistic here -0.5% 62% -1.9%
15% -10.1% 62% -11.4%
20% -18.9% 62% -20.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.91 · official $17.81 · 3500 history records