trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 37 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 30% | 30% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 30% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 30% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 30% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 24% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $430 | $430 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $300 | $300 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $190 | $190 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $320 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $410 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 16 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 16 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 16 | $440 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Utah vs. Ducks | Feb 15 | $8 | +$8 | +104% |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Nov 04 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| North Carolina vs. Syracuse | Nov 03 | $9 | +$11 | +117% |
| Jets vs. Flyers | Oct 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Sep 23 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 23 | $2 | +$3 | +127% |
| Astros vs. Blue Jays | Sep 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Nebraska vs. Cincinnati | Sep 01 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Aug 28 | $5 | +$4 | +92% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 26 | $3 | +$3 | +72% |
| Twins vs. Yankees | Aug 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Jul 30 | $7 | +$3 | +39% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Oleg Gaidukevich win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Feb 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Jan 23 | $103 | +$116 | +113% |
| Thunder vs. Heat | Jan 21 | $104 | +$100 | +96% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | Dec 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 27 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Nov 26 | $49 | +$77 | +156% |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Nov 25 | $24 | +$30 | +127% |