Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb65…c69a
crypto · 1491 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$882 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$885 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 1 History 1491 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$145
7 days−$195
14 days−$606
30 days−$885
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 67¢ 98¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+46%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 57¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 66¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 67¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 67¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 62¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 68¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 70¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 63¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 21¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 26¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 59¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 60¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 53¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 55¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 61¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 26¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 62¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$8 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +63%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$11 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$11 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$5 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $62 +$42 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$21 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$45 -89%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$4 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$114 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$9 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$882
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $16 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1160 -2.7% -11.9% 57% 57% -10.8%
≤30d 1491 -4.8% -13.8% 54% 53% -14.7%
≤90d 1491 -4.8% -13.8% 54% 53% -14.7%
all 1491 -4.8% -13.8% 54% 53% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 53% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 50% -22.8%
15% -29.6% 48% -30.3%
20% -36.5% 28% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.19 · official $9.04 · 3193 history records