Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb6b…e1b2
crypto · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$52 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 19¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$33 +211%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $341 −$78 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$32 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $235 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +39.5% +26.2% 67% 67% -19.5%
≤30d 6 +39.5% +26.2% 67% 67% -19.5%
≤90d 6 +39.5% +26.2% 67% 67% -19.5%
all 6 +39.5% +26.2% 67% 67% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.2% 67% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here +14.1% 67% -27.2%
15% +3.1% 50% -34.2%
20% -7.0% 50% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records