Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcb71…19f7 crypto 257 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3049 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$108 (+0%) realized +$110 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate56%172W / 136L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$97per market
Trades / day3049.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$135now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3049 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -19.5% -27.2% 56% 5% -9.5%
≤30d 308 -19.5% -27.2% 56% 5% -9.5%
≤90d 308 -19.5% -27.2% 56% 5% -9.5%
all 308 -19.5% -27.2% 56% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3049.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.2% 5% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.2% 2% -18.2%
15% -40.5% 2% -26.1%
20% -46.4% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -34% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$135
Realized+$110
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses172 / 136
Open positions2
Markets (closed)308 / 257
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$97
Trades / day3049.3
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 308 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $124 $127 +$4 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 45¢ 60¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-84%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 65 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $31 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.66 · official $133.12 · 3500 history records