Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:57:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb71…3176
crypto · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses19 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)44 / 46
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 6¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$7 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +58%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$16
sports 2% −$3
politics 1% +$1
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 34% -16.7%
≤30d 44 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 34% -16.7%
≤90d 44 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 34% -16.7%
all 44 -10.3% -18.8% 43% 34% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 34% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 23% -24.7%
15% -33.7% 14% -31.9%
20% -40.2% 9% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.46 · official $2.46 (match) · 180 history records