trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +18.6% | +7.3% | 88% | 88% | +7.4% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 64% | 64% | +4.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 64% | 64% | +4.2% |
| all | 22 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 64% | 64% | +4.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.3% | 64% | +4.2% |
| 10% | -9.3% | 50% | -5.7% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 45% | -14.9% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 32% | -23.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 62¢ | $192 | $186 | −$6 (-3%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 58¢ | 60¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 11¢ | $100 | $62 | −$38 (-38%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $100 | +$19 | +18% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $100 | +$19 | +18% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $101 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$31 | +31% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND | Jun 20 | $102 | −$25 | -24% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$68 | +67% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $101 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$94 | +93% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$60 | -59% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $102 | +$64 | +63% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$43 | +42% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $101 | +$42 | +41% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 01 | $101 | +$55 | +54% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev | Jun 01 | $102 | +$126 | +124% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | May 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |