Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb7b…2276
crypto · 1566 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$25
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses889 / 664
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1553 / 1566
History coverage77d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days−$48
14 days+$189
30 days+$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 43¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 393 -3.8% -13.0% 51% 51% -11.7%
≤30d 1030 +1.6% -8.1% 57% 57% -7.0%
≤90d 1553 -0.9% -10.4% 57% 57% -9.8%
all 1553 -0.9% -10.4% 57% 57% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 57% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 57% -18.4%
15% -26.8% 57% -26.3%
20% -34.0% 52% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.11 · official $4.46 (match) · 2862 history records