Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb7e…28dd
other · 116 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,182
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses24 / 34
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions58
Markets (closed)58 / 116
History coverage43d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 58 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$11
14 days+$6
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $700 $713 +$13 (+2%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 36¢ $541 $582 +$41 (+7%)
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $538 $523 −$14 (-3%)
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 62¢ $420 $379 −$40 (-10%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 74¢ $324 $366 +$42 (+13%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 72¢ 75¢ $341 $355 +$13 (+4%)
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? No 80¢ 83¢ $332 $345 +$13 (+4%)
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 68¢ $276 $291 +$15 (+5%)
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $276 $274 −$1 (-0%)
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No 83¢ 84¢ $233 $237 +$4 (+2%)
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 50¢ 42¢ $258 $221 −$37 (-14%)
Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 97¢ 99¢ $193 $198 +$4 (+2%)
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $179 $176 −$3 (-2%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No 48¢ 50¢ $160 $167 +$7 (+4%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 28¢ 27¢ $162 $156 −$5 (-3%)
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $147 $148 +$0 (+0%)
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 92¢ 96¢ $132 $138 +$5 (+4%)
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 27¢ 23¢ $140 $120 −$20 (-15%)
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $129 $113 −$16 (-13%)
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 58¢ 72¢ $78 $99 +$20 (+26%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 22¢ $84 $93 +$9 (+11%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 38¢ $90 $76 −$14 (-16%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $36 $35 −$1 (-3%)
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 40¢ 44¢ $31 $33 +$3 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 09 $86 −$2 -2%
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete Jun 08 $45 +$7 +15%
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete Jun 08 $14 +$2 +11%
Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? Jun 07 $56 +$4 +7%
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 05 $28 +$1 +3%
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Jun 03 $4 +$2 +38%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin Jun 03 $63 −$2 -3%
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete Jun 03 $14 +$1 +6%
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? May 29 $3 $0 -18%
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 29 $4 +$2 +52%
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 26 $31 −$30 -98%
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? May 25 $75 −$12 -16%
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? May 24 $9 +$11 +111%
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? May 24 $35 −$3 -10%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 24 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague? May 22 $20 −$7 -36%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand May 22 $2 −$1 -22%
Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague? May 22 $7 +$1 +19%
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? May 19 $3 $0 -5%
Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular se May 18 $2 +$5 +255%
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2 May 18 $4 +$1 +25%
Will Trump say "Epstein" in May? May 18 $12 +$3 +27%
Will Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings May 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? May 16 $34 +$12 +36%
Will Francisco Bide finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $10 $0 +3%
Will Mark Geddes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $10 $0 +3%
Will Jesse Droemer finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $6 $0 +3%
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? May 15 $3 $0 -9%
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? May 15 $27 $0 +1%
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? May 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? May 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026? May 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) May 12 $43 −$5 -12%
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? May 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5) May 11 $3 −$1 -44%
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship? May 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will Sahith Theegala finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Champions May 10 $3 +$2 +90%
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World May 10 $17 −$3 -17%
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl May 10 $12 −$7 -60%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? May 09 $4 +$6 +128%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? May 08 $4 −$1 -29%
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? May 07 $12 $0 -2%
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? May 07 $1 $0 -16%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? May 07 $10 $0 +2%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? May 07 $5 −$1 -14%
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary e May 06 $2 $0 +15%
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? May 06 $6 +$1 +12%
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $2 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$60
crypto 8% +$10
sports 7% +$10
world 7% −$51
politics 5% +$21
economics 3% +$16
culture 1% +$7
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? SELL Yes 71¢ $7 1h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 52¢ $6 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 BUY Yes 66¢ $9 3h
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group St SELL No 48¢ $4 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 52¢ $14 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 51¢ $16 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 52¢ $53 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 45¢ $43 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 44¢ $4 3h
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 85¢ $9 3h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 44¢ $4 4h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY No 44¢ $22 4h
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 95¢ $86 4h
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 95¢ $24 6h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 92¢ $180 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 BUY Yes 66¢ $17 8h
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 40¢ $24 9h
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 40¢ $7 9h
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 12h
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 29¢ $17 12h
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $8 12h
Will Egypt be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 71¢ $31 13h
Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $193 13h
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 79¢ $15 13h
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 25¢ $1 13h
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 93¢ $47 14h
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 93¢ $60 14h
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 78¢ $18 15h
Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $15 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +7.7% -2.5% 75% 50% -4.8%
≤30d 32 -4.9% -14.0% 53% 31% -12.7%
≤90d 58 -8.4% -17.1% 41% 24% -15.5%
all 58 -8.4% -17.1% 41% 24% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 24% -15.5%
10% -25.0% 16% -23.6%
15% -32.3% 12% -31.0%
20% -38.9% 9% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,182.50 · official $6,182.49 (match) · 567 history records