Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:50:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb83…9006
crypto · 1675 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$325 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$308 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$308
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1253 / 419
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1672 / 1675
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day306.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$308
14 days−$308
30 days−$308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 83¢ 98¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 68¢ 4¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 68¢ 4¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$325
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1672 -0.3% -9.8% 75% 75% -11.9%
≤30d 1672 -0.3% -9.8% 75% 75% -11.9%
≤90d 1672 -0.3% -9.8% 75% 75% -11.9%
all 1672 -0.3% -9.8% 75% 75% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover306.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 75% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 66% -20.4%
15% -26.3% 25% -28.1%
20% -33.6% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.11 · official $16.09 · 3500 history records