Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:07:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb87…bceb
weather · 119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses61 / 56
Open positions2
Markets (closed)117 / 119
History coverage157d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$5
14 days+$42
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 77¢ 76¢ $33 $32 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? No 72¢ 74¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 25? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14? No 81¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15? No 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 14? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3? No 58¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 14? No 63¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 14? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6? No 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31? No 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16? No 64¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 25? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13? No 77¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 13 $39 +$16 +40%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 13 $57 −$7 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6? Jun 10 $26 +$4 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ma May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 16? May 31 $11 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16? May 31 $21 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ma May 31 $34 +$16 +46%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ma May 31 $55 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 16? May 31 $45 +$15 +32%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma May 31 $61 +$7 +11%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ma May 31 $65 +$6 +9%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ma May 31 $77 +$3 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ma May 16 $31 −$31 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3? May 04 $6 +$7 +128%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 3? May 04 $38 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on Ma May 04 $49 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ma May 04 $29 +$26 +90%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on Ma May 04 $86 +$6 +7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma May 03 $42 −$41 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3? May 03 $6 −$6 -97%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on Ap May 02 $32 −$12 -38%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on Ap May 02 $49 +$23 +47%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on Ap Apr 25 $23 −$7 -29%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on Ap Apr 25 $45 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on Ap Apr 25 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 14 Apr 17 $10 +$12 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14? Apr 17 $39 +$49 +125%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ap Apr 17 $28 −$24 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14 Apr 17 $11 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 14 Apr 17 $27 −$14 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 14? Apr 17 $65 −$4 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 14 Apr 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 14? Apr 14 $71 −$70 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13 Apr 14 $12 +$21 +184%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on Apr Apr 14 $37 +$7 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 14? Apr 14 $22 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ap Apr 14 $119 −$4 -4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ap Apr 13 $16 +$3 +17%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ap Apr 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ap Apr 13 $99 +$27 +28%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ap Apr 13 $94 −$69 -74%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ap Apr 13 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 93% −$25
tech 5% +$21
other 2% −$17
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? SELL No 78¢ $1 7m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? SELL No 78¢ $5 55m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 77¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 78¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 52¢ $8 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 96¢ $48 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 56¢ $13 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 49¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $22 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY No 56¢ $25 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY No 57¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 48¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 48¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 48¢ $14 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 6? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -24.0% -31.2% 29% 29% -7.1%
≤30d 21 -32.1% -38.6% 38% 24% -8.1%
≤90d 108 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 24% -9.9%
all 117 +2.1% -7.6% 52% 24% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 24% -10.1%
10% -16.4% 15% -18.7%
15% -24.5% 12% -26.6%
20% -31.9% 9% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.98 · official $35.98 (match) · 781 history records