trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 33% | 33% | +5.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 18% | 18% | -4.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 18% | 18% | -4.5% |
| all | 11 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 18% | 18% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.9% | 18% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -51.1% | 18% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -55.8% | 9% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -60.1% | 0% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 10¢ | 34¢ | $351 | $1,178 | +$827 (+235%) |
| Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 2¢ | 8¢ | $79 | $340 | +$261 (+329%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$9 | -89% |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 16 | $109 | +$36 | +34% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 14 | $214 | −$87 | -41% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 10 | $351 | +$159 | +45% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 09 | $18 | −$10 | -52% |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | May 25 | $10 | −$3 | -26% |