Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:17:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb92…e62f
crypto · 811 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,638 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,636 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$185
Realized−$8,636
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses317 / 929
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1246 / 811
History coverage2d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day851.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,397
7 days−$8,636
14 days−$8,636
30 days−$8,636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $49 $110 +$60 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 66¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 50¢ 34¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 68¢ $8 $10 +$3 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$5 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$102 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +416%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$21 -103%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +492%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +222%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +818%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1082%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +3214%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +515%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$27 +13899%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$25 -8051%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -244%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +2080%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$32 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$46 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$26 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$6 -386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$32 -110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$28 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$7 -185%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$9 -224%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $31 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $6 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $31 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $43 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $22 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $6 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $15 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $22 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $11 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1246 -19.2% -26.9% 25% 21% -29.1%
≤30d 1246 -19.2% -26.9% 25% 21% -29.1%
≤90d 1246 -19.2% -26.9% 25% 21% -29.1%
all 1246 -19.2% -26.9% 25% 21% -29.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover851.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 21% -29.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 16% -35.8%
15% -40.3% 13% -42.0%
20% -46.1% 7% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $185.21 · official $166.48 · 3500 history records