trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +112.8% | +92.5% | 100% | 100% | +92.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +112.8% | +92.5% | 100% | 100% | +92.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +41.0% | +27.6% | 62% | 62% | +40.5% |
| all | 13 | +41.0% | +27.6% | 62% | 62% | +40.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +27.6% | 62% | +40.5% |
| 10% | +15.4% | 62% | +27.0% |
| 15% | +4.2% | 62% | +14.7% |
| 20% | -6.0% | 54% | +3.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 10¢ | $25 | $14 | −$11 (-44%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-30%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 58¢ | 58¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 26¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 38¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-54%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-52%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$11 | +113% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 11 | $5 | +$15 | +285% |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30? | Apr 22 | $1 | −$1 | -89% |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 16 | $6 | +$3 | +52% |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | Apr 13 | $6 | +$3 | +48% |
| Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 10 | $11 | +$9 | +79% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 08 | $3 | +$7 | +212% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 07 | $12 | +$8 | +63% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $4 | −$2 | -63% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-27? | Mar 28 | $4 | +$6 | +133% |