Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:52:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcba7…f187
other · 117 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,681 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,321 · open −$395
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,257
Realized−$3,321
Unrealized−$395
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses17 / 64
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions36
Markets (closed)81 / 117
History coverage52d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 36 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$278
7 days+$278
14 days+$173
30 days+$319
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? Yes 68¢ 60¢ $727 $645 −$82 (-11%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No 70¢ 34¢ $613 $299 −$313 (-51%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $30 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? No 81¢ 80¢ $25 $25 −$1 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 86¢ 87¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 38¢ 58¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+54%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 49¢ 27¢ $23 $13 −$10 (-44%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+45%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+41%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-7%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $10 +$4 (+79%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+30%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+23%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 11 $218 +$146 +67%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 11 $358 +$133 +37%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 31 $24 −$24 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 31 $55 −$55 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? May 31 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 +$220 +10487%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 6? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 6? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 93% −$3,846
other 3% +$145
world 2% −$41
crypto 1% +$36
politics 0% +$1
sports 0% −$10
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY No 82¢ $22 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 87¢ $20 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 60¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 60¢ $6 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 60¢ $9 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 83¢ $4 27h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY No 78¢ $4 27h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 67¢ $4 27h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? BUY No 53¢ $4 27h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 70¢ $55 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 70¢ $25 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 70¢ $33 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 70¢ $44 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 71¢ $60 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 70¢ $80 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY No 69¢ $326 34h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? BUY Yes 73¢ $218 34h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 35¢ $3 12d
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 25d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 25d
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? BUY Yes 72¢ $91 25d
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? BUY Yes 71¢ $131 25d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? BUY No 73¢ $212 41d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? BUY No 59¢ $218 41d
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-47.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +51.9% +37.4% 100% 100% +34.2%
≤30d 53 -52.7% -57.2% 8% 6% +6.2%
≤90d 81 -42.5% -47.9% 21% 19% -46.8%
all 81 -42.5% -47.9% 21% 19% -46.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.9% 19% -46.8%
10% -52.9% 15% -51.9%
15% -57.5% 12% -56.6%
20% -61.6% 10% -60.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,256.81 · official $1,256.81 (match) · 345 history records