Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:32:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbaa…261b
crypto · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses47 / 49
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)96 / 98
History coverage119d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Pistons 63¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 14 $15 −$15 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 14 $7 +$3 +38%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 05 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 04 $2 −$1 -28%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 25 $8 +$3 +33%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns Apr 21 $16 $0 +1%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 20 $9 +$1 +9%
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5 Apr 20 $5 $0 +1%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 15 $20 $0 +1%
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? Apr 08 $79 +$21 +27%
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 07 $20 $0 +1%
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 07 $27 +$33 +122%
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 07 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Apr 07 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Apr 07 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 07 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 07 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Apr 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 05 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 05 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 04 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 02 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 02 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Apr 01 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 31 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 31 $110 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 30 $5 $0 +3%
Knicks vs. Hornets Mar 27 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Mar 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 26 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Mar 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 26 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 26 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 25 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 25 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 25 $5 $0 +4%
Spread: Lakers (-1.5) Mar 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 24 $5 $0 +5%
Lakers vs. Pistons Mar 24 $7 +$8 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Mar 24 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Mar 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 23 $14 +$1 +5%
Hawks vs. Bucks Mar 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% +$7
sports 34% −$58
other 9% +$30
world 8% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 1h
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 31d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 68¢ $3 31d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 76¢ $4 31d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 31d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 60¢ $6 39d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 41d
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 41d
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 41d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 57¢ $6 41d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 57¢ $6 41d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 41d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 41d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 41d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 41d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 52d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 51¢ $20 52d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 52d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 52d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 52d
Thunder vs. Suns SELL Suns 15¢ $2 53d
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers BUY Spurs 72¢ $2 55d
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers BUY Spurs 72¢ $2 55d
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 4.5 56¢ $2 55d
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 4.5 56¢ $1 55d
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Over 4.5 43¢ $2 55d
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 92¢ $9 55d
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers SELL Trail Blazers 26¢ $1 55d
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers BUY Spurs 77¢ $4 55d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 60 -13.4% -21.6% 55% 15% -15.2%
all 96 -4.2% -13.3% 49% 18% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 18% -9.5%
10% -21.6% 12% -18.2%
15% -29.2% 10% -26.1%
20% -36.1% 7% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.11 · official $15.11 (match) · 358 history records