Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:34:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
CB 0xcbab…7a56 crypto 46 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$241 (+6%) realized +$241 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate98%45W / 1L
Drawdown37%max
Avg bet$93per market
Trades / day44.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +4.1% -5.8% 98% 22% -5.9%
≤30d 46 +4.1% -5.8% 98% 22% -5.9%
≤90d 46 +4.1% -5.8% 98% 22% -5.9%
all 46 +4.1% -5.8% 98% 22% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 22% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 4% -14.9%
15% -23.0% 0% -23.1%
20% -30.6% 0% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$100 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.71 per $1 lost it wins $2.71
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$241
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses45 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $88 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$19 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $66 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$9 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$20 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $69 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$17 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$24 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$20 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$31 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $28 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$20 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $72 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$12 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $39 +$4 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $88 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $66 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $69 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $100 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $100 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $100 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $100 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records