trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 | Over | 92¢ | 92¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 | Over | 86¢ | 86¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5 | Over | 79¢ | 78¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Curaçao | 82¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$5 | +442% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $14 | +$5 | +36% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -84% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +97% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 3? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 16? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 22? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 22? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 21? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 21? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 3? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 18? | Jun 12 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 18? | Dec 17 | $1 | +$2 | +204% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6? | Nov 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 14? | Nov 14 | $4 | +$1 | +31% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 25% | 25% | -63.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 25% | 25% | -63.5% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 25% | 25% | -63.5% |
| all | 23 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 30% | 30% | -58.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.5% | 30% | -58.6% |
| 10% | -38.0% | 30% | -62.6% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 26% | -66.2% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 17% | -69.5% |