Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T08:53:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
CB 0xcbd0…ae89 crypto 126 markets active 2h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,379 (+38%) realized +$1,379 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +53% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +18% what you keep after slip
Net edge+18%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%61W / 65L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day65.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days+$1,032
14 days+$1,314
30 days+$1,314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,314
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +46.4% +32.5% 45% 44% +18.8%
≤30d 126 +52.7% +38.1% 48% 48% +24.0%
≤90d 126 +52.7% +38.1% 48% 48% +24.0%
all 126 +52.7% +38.1% 48% 48% +24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +38.1% 48% +24.0%
10% ← realistic here +24.9% 47% +12.2%
15% +12.8% 46% +1.3%
20% +1.8% 44% -8.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +37% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +53% · $-wt +37% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +68% → late +38% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$44 vs −$21 · ×2.09 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.96 per $1 lost it wins $1.96
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,379
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses61 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage7d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day65.9
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 126 Trades
no open positions (56 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $47 +$20 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $126 −$120 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 29 $228 −$198 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 29 $240 −$48 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $169 +$215 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 29 $79 +$203 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $49 +$51 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $55 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $13 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $178 +$122 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $25 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $25 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $41 +$39 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $25 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $14 +$26 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$45 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $40 +$20 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $45 +$45 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $17 +$43 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $40 +$40 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$58 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$59 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$40 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $37 +$43 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$45 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$37 +1074%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$64 +399%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$12 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 542 history records