trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $30 | $28 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | No | 75¢ | 64¢ | $14 | $12 | −$2 (-14%) |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Gen.G | 68¢ | 69¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 64¢ | 64¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 46¢ | $3 | $3 | −$1 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 13 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $17 | −$17 | -96% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -17% |
| LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | −$3 | -64% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$5 | -64% |
| Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$8 | -53% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $8 | +$3 | +40% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $18 | +$6 | +31% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$3 | +34% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $14 | +$3 | +24% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova | Jun 12 | $4 | +$2 | +50% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -53% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 44% | 44% | -27.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 44% | 44% | -27.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 44% | 44% | -27.5% |
| all | 25 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 44% | 44% | -27.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.4% | 44% | -27.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -28.0% | 36% | -34.4% |
| 15% | -34.9% | 20% | -40.8% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 8% | -46.6% |