Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbdd…2ffe
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$24 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized+$25
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $44 $43 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$18 +210%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $53 −$45 -84%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $28 +$44 +156%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% +$7
sports 5% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $26 56m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $26 56m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $8 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $19 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $53 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $73 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $28 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+63.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +80.7% +63.5% 75% 75% +11.2%
≤30d 4 +80.7% +63.5% 75% 75% +11.2%
≤90d 4 +80.7% +63.5% 75% 75% +11.2%
all 4 +80.7% +63.5% 75% 75% +11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +63.5% 75% +11.2%
10% +47.9% 75% +0.6%
15% +33.6% 75% -9.2%
20% +20.5% 50% -18.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.44 · official $43.44 (match) · 10 history records