trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +89.6% | +71.5% | 100% | 100% | +71.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +133.3% | +111.1% | 83% | 67% | +2.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +101.1% | +82.0% | 88% | 50% | +2.5% |
| all | 8 | +101.1% | +82.0% | 88% | 50% | +2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +82.0% | 50% | +2.5% |
| 10% | +64.5% | 25% | -7.3% |
| 15% | +48.6% | 25% | -16.3% |
| 20% | +34.1% | 25% | -24.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 10 | $26 | +$23 | +90% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | May 31 | $91 | +$17 | +19% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? | May 30 | $107 | +$16 | +15% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | May 27 | $79 | +$17 | +21% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | May 27 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | May 26 | $102 | −$31 | -30% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 23-29? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 13 | $8 | +$1 | +8% |