Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:41:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcbea…7777 crypto 662 markets active 2d ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$172 (-0%) realized −$172 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate80%554W / 138L
Whale WR85%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$188per market
Trades / day91.3pace
Fees−$128est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$435
7 days−$709
14 days−$1,411
30 days−$1,317
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$737
sports 6% −$137
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -43.2% -48.6% 38% 14% -37.1%
≤30d 690 -5.3% -14.3% 80% 23% -10.5%
≤90d 692 -5.3% -14.3% 80% 23% -10.5%
all 692 -5.3% -14.3% 80% 23% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 23% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 9% -19.0%
15% -30.0% 6% -26.9%
20% -36.9% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 85% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$77 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses554 / 138
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$128
Open positions0
Markets (closed)692 / 662
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$188
Trades / day91.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 692 Trades
no open positions (52 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 4? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-09? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$10 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$10 +316%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$56 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 44h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $11 44h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $13 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $16 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $37 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $40 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records