Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcbeb…dbd6
crypto · 380 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$37 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses194 / 185
Open positions1
Markets (closed)379 / 380
History coverage23d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day48.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days−$74
14 days−$29
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 59¢ 96¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$11 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$12 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$19 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$27 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$33 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$18 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $65 +$28 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$44 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$46 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $61 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$21 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$14 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$32 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$45 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$10 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$84 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$19 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$27 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -30.8% -37.4% 39% 37% -13.2%
≤30d 379 -7.2% -16.0% 51% 44% -11.5%
≤90d 379 -7.2% -16.0% 51% 44% -11.5%
all 379 -7.2% -16.0% 51% 44% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 44% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 33% -19.9%
15% -31.4% 23% -27.7%
20% -38.1% 15% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.73 · official $5.37 (match) · 1435 history records