Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:15:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcbf5…3e05 crypto 73 markets active 3d ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$23 (-5%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate71%52W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day47.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -6.7% -15.6% 71% 40% -16.4%
≤30d 73 -6.7% -15.6% 71% 40% -16.4%
≤90d 73 -6.7% -15.6% 71% 40% -16.4%
all 73 -6.7% -15.6% 71% 40% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 40% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 18% -24.4%
15% -31.0% 4% -31.7%
20% -37.8% 1% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses52 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day47.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 231 history records