Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:40:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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CB 0xcbfb…cde5 crypto 1184 markets active 0h ago coverage 54d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$22 (-0%) realized −$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate90%1068W / 116L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day29.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$8
14 days−$23
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 14% -9.7%
≤30d 808 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 14% -10.5%
≤90d 1184 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 13% -10.4%
all 1184 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 13% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 13% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 3% -19.0%
15% -27.1% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1068 / 116
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1184 / 1184
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1184 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $60 −$36 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$16 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$2 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $4 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $40 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $41 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records