Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcbfc…28d0 crypto 427 markets active 1h ago coverage 53d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$583 (+2%) realized +$583 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate80%343W / 84L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day61.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$85
14 days+$219
30 days+$328
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +3.2% -6.7% 86% 2% -7.3%
≤30d 330 +3.2% -6.6% 78% 13% -8.4%
≤90d 427 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 12% -9.2%
all 427 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 12% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 12% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 1% -17.8%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.8%
20% -31.7% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$24 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$583
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses343 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)427 / 427
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$85
Trades / day61.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 427 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $123 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $119 +$31 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $120 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $183 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $82 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $83 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 24 $28 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $136 +$13 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $27 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $140 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $112 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $136 −$112 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $56 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $110 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $132 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $112 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $28 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $85 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $84 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $28 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $140 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 21 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 21 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $140 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $112 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $56 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $140 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $135 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $96 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records