Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:59:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
CC 0xcc01…c226 crypto 82 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$172 (+11%) realized +$172 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%37W / 45L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day34.3pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$105
other 4% −$12
sports 3% +$182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +16.3% +5.2% 45% 45% -5.4%
≤30d 82 +16.3% +5.2% 45% 45% -5.4%
≤90d 82 +16.3% +5.2% 45% 45% -5.4%
all 82 +16.3% +5.2% 45% 45% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.2% 45% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -4.9% 44% -14.4%
15% -14.1% 40% -22.7%
20% -22.5% 39% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +16% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +32% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$17 · ×1.32 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses37 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage4d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day34.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 82 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$24 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$9 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$18 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$59 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$7 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$12 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$30 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$4 -25%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Jun 16 $15 +$39 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $27 +$23 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$16 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$27 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$20 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$10 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $19 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records