Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc0e…0049
other · 32 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses13 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)31 / 32
History coverage442d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? Yes 79¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 09 $17 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 09 $45 +$1 +1%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 08 $41 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $41 $0 -0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $18 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 06 $11 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $28 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 06 $45 $0 +0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 17 $1 $0 -3%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 28 $12 $0 -0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? Jun 21 $2 $0 +1%
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th May 21 $10 +$1 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May? May 15 $11 $0 +0%
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? May 15 $11 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? May 14 $1 $0 +15%
Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? May 14 $10 $0 +0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? May 14 $11 $0 -0%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? May 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? May 11 $11 $0 +0%
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres May 11 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? May 10 $11 $0 +1%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? May 09 $10 $0 -0%
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? May 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? May 08 $11 $0 +1%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? May 08 $14 $0 -2%
Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon' Apr 05 $14 $0 +2%
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of less than 10% on the EU by June Apr 02 $14 $0 -0%
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? Apr 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28? Mar 30 $13 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 51% −$1
other 30% $0
politics 12% +$1
crypto 4% $0
weather 3% $0
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 79¢ $6 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 43¢ $38 7h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 43¢ $38 7h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 20¢ $9 14h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 22¢ $6 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 24¢ $2 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 24¢ $15 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 24¢ $17 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $46 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $45 3d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $41 4d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $41 4d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $38 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $3 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $41 5d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $12 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $18 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 28¢ $4 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 28¢ $7 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 28¢ $9 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $20 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $8 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $4 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $24 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $45 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $45 6d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 90¢ $0 177d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.8% -10.3% 10% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 10 -0.8% -10.3% 10% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 10 -0.8% -10.3% 10% 0% -9.7%
all 31 +0.5% -9.1% 42% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 3% -9.4%
10% -17.8% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.08 · official $6.08 (match) · 75 history records