Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T06:41:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xcc0f…0522 other 47 markets active 1h ago coverage 224d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,418 (-8%) realized −$1,418 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate50%21W / 21L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$371per market
Trades / day0.5pace
Fees−$61est.
Kalshi-fit57%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,088
7 days−$1,088
14 days−$1,088
30 days−$1,088
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 33% +$381
sports 32% −$448
politics 26% −$47
world 9% −$974
culture 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -27.9% -34.8% 33% 25% -20.2%
≤30d 12 -27.9% -34.8% 33% 25% -20.2%
≤90d 12 -27.9% -34.8% 33% 25% -20.2%
all 42 -19.1% -26.8% 50% 17% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 17% -15.5%
10% -33.8% 17% -23.6%
15% -40.2% 10% -31.0%
20% -46.1% 5% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 54% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$626) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -15% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$102 vs −$154 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

224d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,418
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses21 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 47
History coverage224d
Avg bet$371
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $2,911 +$46 +2%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1,005 −$993 -99%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $306 −$33 -11%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $756 +$532 +70%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 27 $1,017 +$626 +62%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $205 −$205 -100%
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $507 −$507 -100%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 26 $800 +$200 +25%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $886 −$283 -32%
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 26 $356 −$187 -52%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $287 −$277 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $203 −$6 -3%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18? Jan 17 $254 −$254 -100%
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? Dec 10 $235 +$19 +8%
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31? Dec 01 $253 +$5 +2%
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31? Dec 01 $65 $0 +0%
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025? Dec 01 $60 +$1 +1%
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? Dec 01 $44 $0 +1%
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? Dec 01 $749 +$192 +26%
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? Nov 26 $50 +$2 +5%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26? Nov 26 $25 −$25 -100%
Zelensky resigns in 2025? Nov 26 $100 +$1 +0%
5kt meteor strike in 2025? Nov 26 $301 −$1 -0%
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? Nov 26 $300 +$2 +1%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 Nov 24 $95 +$5 +5%
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and Nov 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22? Nov 22 $102 +$50 +49%
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30? Nov 22 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? Nov 21 $145 −$145 -100%
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? Nov 21 $626 +$18 +3%
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19? Nov 20 $260 −$260 -100%
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Nov 20 $637 −$10 -2%
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November? Nov 19 $875 +$22 +2%
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30? Nov 19 $987 +$359 +36%
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? Nov 18 $30 −$10 -34%
Will Trump say "Every Arab" during Saudi PM events on November 18? Nov 18 $50 −$20 -40%
Maduro out in 2025? Nov 18 $26 −$6 -22%
Will Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Saudi PM events on November 18 Nov 17 $140 −$4 -3%
Will Trump say "F-35" during Saudi PM events on November 18? Nov 17 $21 −$9 -42%
Will Trump say “F-35” this week? (November 10 - 16) Nov 16 $253 −$2 -1%
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? Nov 15 $218 +$16 +7%
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15? Nov 15 $200 +$53 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY 29¢ $50 1h
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY 34¢ $300 1h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? SELL Yes 96¢ $2,851 1h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $2,707 1h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? SELL Yes 1¢ $12 1h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? BUY Yes 83¢ $1,005 1h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? SELL No 18¢ $106 1h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? BUY No 33¢ $204 2h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? SELL Yes 27¢ $273 3h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 29¢ $306 3h
Spain leading at halftime? SELL Yes 42¢ $480 6h
Spain leading at halftime? BUY Yes 43¢ $1,017 6h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 58¢ $756 6h
Michael Olise: 1+ assists AND Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals AND Erling Haala BUY 4¢ $9 26h
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 AND Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spai BUY 20¢ $320 26h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 23¢ $205 29h
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 52¢ $507 29h
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY 79¢ $800 29h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 70¢ $603 30h
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? SELL Yes 20¢ $169 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in BUY 24¢ $300 30h
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $356 30h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 32h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 2¢ $10 32h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $197 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 53¢ $197 35h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $287 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 53¢ $203 39h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 51¢ $679 39h
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18? BUY Yes 56¢ $254 160d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $343.12 · 112 history records