Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc12…7ac5
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$1
sports 38% −$1
crypto 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 25h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-65.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -61.4% -65.0% 25% 25% -64.8%
≤30d 4 -61.4% -65.0% 25% 25% -64.8%
≤90d 4 -61.4% -65.0% 25% 25% -64.8%
all 4 -61.4% -65.0% 25% 25% -64.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -65.0% 25% -64.8%
10% -68.4% 25% -68.1%
15% -71.4% 25% -71.2%
20% -74.2% 25% -74.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.93 · official $3.93 (match) · 9 history records