Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:54:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xcc2c…1957 crypto 236 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$20 (+2%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%126W / 110L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day55.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -9.0%
≤30d 236 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -9.0%
≤90d 236 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -9.0%
all 236 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 53% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 50% -17.8%
15% -28.0% 43% -25.7%
20% -35.1% 36% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses126 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day55.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 236 Trades
no open positions (102 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$5 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 442 history records