Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc3c…b218
crypto · 132 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$6,610 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,603 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$6,603
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses60 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)131 / 132
History coverage385d
Avg bet$771
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$546
30 days−$628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 57¢ 80¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $23 −$3 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $14 −$1 -9%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? Jun 03 $4 +$1 +12%
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election Jun 03 $8 +$4 +52%
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races? Jun 03 $4 −$1 -37%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $73 −$61 -85%
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e Jun 03 $1 $0 +42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4? Jun 02 $44 −$12 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Jun 02 $38 −$6 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $9 −$1 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $323 −$13 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $579 −$192 -33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,239 −$116 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $33 −$3 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $357 −$155 -43%
Will the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races? May 30 $61 −$4 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31? May 30 $837 −$76 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 31? May 30 $111 +$9 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30? May 29 $1,038 +$101 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30? May 29 $699 −$13 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28? May 28 $96 −$46 -48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28? May 28 $908 −$20 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28? May 28 $1,235 +$186 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27? May 27 $19 +$2 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $736 +$80 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $357 +$38 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26? May 26 $18 −$4 -20%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26? May 25 $289 −$47 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $951 +$56 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24? May 24 $2,068 +$19 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 25? May 24 $3 −$2 -57%
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 May 24 $11 −$3 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24? May 24 $178 −$75 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24? May 24 $211 −$56 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25? May 23 $247 −$46 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 23? May 23 $2,209 −$95 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23? May 23 $11 −$11 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $588 +$36 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22? May 22 $268 +$46 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 22? May 21 $57 +$41 +73%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21? May 21 $353 −$11 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21? May 21 $174 −$31 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22? May 20 $89 −$37 -41%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 21? May 20 $61 −$36 -60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20? May 20 $6 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20? May 20 $334 −$7 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20? May 19 $147 −$47 -32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 19? May 19 $336 −$20 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18? May 18 $316 +$12 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$1,171
world 25% +$717
crypto 18% −$556
politics 12% +$5,651
sports 1% −$373
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 57¢ $18 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 54¢ $17 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 73¢ $25 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 19¢ $2 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 23¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 71¢ $27 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 58¢ $23 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 55¢ $1 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 55¢ $11 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 55¢ $11 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 56¢ $11 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 55¢ $11 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 56¢ $13 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $11 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 52¢ $16 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 48¢ $14 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? SELL Yes 38¢ $9 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 25¢ $7 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? SELL Yes 36¢ $5 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 38¢ $6 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? SELL Yes 36¢ $7 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 36¢ $8 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? SELL Yes 23¢ $7 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? SELL Yes 25¢ $5 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 31¢ $16 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? SELL Yes 93¢ $5 8d
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election SELL Yes 93¢ $12 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -19.9% -27.5% 0% 0% -27.5%
≤30d 52 -9.7% -18.3% 31% 19% -12.7%
≤90d 52 -9.7% -18.3% 31% 19% -12.7%
all 131 +36.7% +23.7% 46% 31% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.7% 31% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here +11.9% 19% -13.0%
15% +1.1% 17% -21.4%
20% -8.9% 13% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.15 · official $24.15 (match) · 3500 history records