Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc3e…0e8d
crypto · 573 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,334 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,291 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$636
Realized−$5,291
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses172 / 396
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)568 / 573
History coverage66d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 568 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$460
14 days−$660
30 days−$1,776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $442 $438 −$4 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $144 $144 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $27 $23 −$3 (-13%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $45 +$78 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$18 -58%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 +$141 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$49 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 13 $22 −$19 -86%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 13 $49 −$39 -80%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $23 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 12 $48 −$37 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$12 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$12 +54%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? Jun 12 $50 −$29 -57%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $82 −$30 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? Jun 11 $47 −$31 -66%
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? Jun 11 $80 −$50 -63%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $224 −$27 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $242 −$141 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$42 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Jun 08 $159 −$19 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $52 +$49 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 07 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $47 +$73 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $48 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $52 −$52 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $198 +$297 +150%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $29 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $105 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 07 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 07 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $51 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 07 $31 +$66 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 07 $32 +$105 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 07 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $31 +$24 +77%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$5,488
other 5% −$24
world 3% +$43
sports 0% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $24 34m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $26 34m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 34m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 13¢ $23 35m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 54¢ $123 36m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $71 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $31 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $31 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $46 9h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $28 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $31 9h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $101 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $13 12h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 12h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? SELL Yes 2¢ $10 12h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $22 39h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 23¢ $21 39h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? BUY Yes 12¢ $49 39h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $12 46h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $11 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $35 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $31 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $48 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $31 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -20.9% -28.4% 23% 23% -23.1%
≤30d 254 -19.9% -27.5% 31% 27% -21.4%
≤90d 568 -21.6% -29.1% 30% 28% -23.4%
all 568 -21.6% -29.1% 30% 28% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 28% -23.4%
10% -35.9% 27% -30.7%
15% -42.1% 25% -37.4%
20% -47.7% 24% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $636.26 · official $636.37 (match) · 1248 history records