trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 92% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -38.7% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $113 | $113 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in May? | Jun 01 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9? | May 10 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 20 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 02 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Mar 20 | $1,211 | +$1 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Mar 10 | $1,210 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Mar 09 | $1,204 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 2 above $2.50? | Mar 07 | $1,203 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $1.50? | Feb 28 | $1,201 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $40? | Feb 21 | $172 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Feb 08 | $1,199 | +$2 | +0% |
| Warriors vs. Jazz | Jan 31 | $299 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of January? | Jan 31 | $898 | +$1 | +0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs DRX (BO3) | Jan 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 7? | Jan 08 | $514 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Jan 02 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $53 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $55 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $122 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $621 | +$1 | +0% |