Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:39:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc47…1f7d
crypto · 1754 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$571 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$441 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$441
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses938 / 777
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1715 / 1754
History coverage46d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day42.4
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 1715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days+$140
14 days+$192
30 days+$420
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 49¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions Guangzhou Loong Lions 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$23 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$420
sports 2% +$32
other 0% $0
politics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $31 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 55% -2.3%
≤30d 1392 +1.4% -8.2% 54% 54% -3.2%
≤90d 1715 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 54% -3.8%
all 1715 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 54% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 54% -3.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 53% -13.0%
15% -24.8% 52% -21.4%
20% -32.2% 50% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.08 · official $11.04 · 3500 history records