Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:12:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
CC 0xcc49…f4f2 crypto 17 markets active 2d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL −$89 (-9%) realized −$89 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%1W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$61per market
Trades / day30.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 63% $0
crypto 27% +$5
sports 6% $0
tech 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +12.7% +2.0% 100% 100% +2.0%
≤30d 1 +12.7% +2.0% 100% 100% +2.0%
≤90d 1 +12.7% +2.0% 100% 100% +2.0%
all 1 +12.7% +2.0% 100% 100% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.0% 100% +2.0%
10% ← realistic here -7.8% 0% -7.8%
15% -16.7% 0% -16.7%
20% -24.9% 0% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$5 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June? BUY No 85¢ $42 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $37 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $41 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 77¢ $38 2d
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 2d
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $59 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $38 2d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 18¢ $266 2d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 18¢ $367 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 2d
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 2d
BNB Up or Down on June 15? BUY Down 29¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records