Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:22:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc4e…97e0
other · 13 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$5 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)2 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%
Chart Positions 10 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals Yes 21¢ 50¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+140%)
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals Yes 55¢ 49¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goals Yes 22¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Lewis Ferguson: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 11¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals Yes 49¢ 29¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-41%)
Nick Woltemade: 1+ goals Yes 51¢ 33¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ goals Yes 17¢ 13¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-24%)
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals Yes 54¢ 20¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-62%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 84% −$3
sports 16% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals BUY Yes 49¢ $2 2h
Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3h
Lewis Ferguson: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $2 3h
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals BUY Yes 21¢ $2 3h
Nick Woltemade: 1+ goals BUY Yes 51¢ $2 3h
Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goals BUY Yes 22¢ $2 3h
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 55¢ $2 3h
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals BUY Yes 54¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 15¢ $1 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 38¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 17¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.24 · official $13.13 (match) · 13 history records