Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc53…2163
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$52
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage3d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 96¢ 97¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? Yes $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-48.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -43.4% -48.8% 0% 0% -48.8%
≤30d 1 -43.4% -48.8% 0% 0% -48.8%
≤90d 1 -43.4% -48.8% 0% 0% -48.8%
all 1 -43.4% -48.8% 0% 0% -48.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -48.8% 0% -48.8%
10% -53.7% 0% -53.7%
15% -58.2% 0% -58.2%
20% -62.3% 0% -62.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.01 · official $52.01 (match) · 6 history records