trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$1 | -43% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? | BUY Yes | 2¢ | $0 | 1h |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? | BUY Yes | 2¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? | BUY No | 96¢ | $50 | 1h |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? | BUY Yes | 1¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? | SELL No | 40¢ | $2 | 2d |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? | BUY No | 66¢ | $3 | 2d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 0% | 0% | -48.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 0% | 0% | -48.8% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 0% | 0% | -48.8% |
| all | 1 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 0% | 0% | -48.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.8% | 0% | -48.8% |
| 10% | -53.7% | 0% | -53.7% |
| 15% | -58.2% | 0% | -58.2% |
| 20% | -62.3% | 0% | -62.3% |