Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc53…b960
other · 50 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses11 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage605d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $71 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $9 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $11 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 05 $11 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? Jun 05 $36 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $11 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 26 $15 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins May 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 21 $26 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $11 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 18 $67 $0 -0%
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 12 $8 +$12 +152%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 11 $119 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 08 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 07 $59 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $62 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 02 $59 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $59 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 01 $59 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $61 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $63 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $63 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $62 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $59 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 20 $63 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $63 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $10 +$8 +72%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $14 +$3 +24%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Blackhawks vs. Sharks Apr 07 $11 +$6 +59%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? Apr 06 $15 $0 +0%
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Apr 06 $15 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? Mar 27 $8 $0 +2%
Will Solana reach $180 in February? Mar 05 $29 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Feb 13 $28 +$1 +3%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 19 $13 $0 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 05 $17 $0 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $21 $0 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 28 $18 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 11 $197 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $700 −$3 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $883 −$3 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 26 $992 −$6 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 71% −$13
other 20% −$7
sports 2% +$10
crypto 2% $0
world 2% +$1
economics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 1h
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 3h
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $9 7d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $9 7d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $11 8d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 8d
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $10 8d
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 8d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 18d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $11 18d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 18d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $15 19d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $15 19d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 24d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 24d
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 44¢ $6 24d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 25d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 25d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $36 25d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 26d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 26d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $67 27d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $67 27d
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $59 34d
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $59 34d
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY San Francisco Giants 39¢ $8 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -7.2% -16.1% 14% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 38 +0.2% -9.4% 24% 11% -9.2%
all 50 -0.0% -9.5% 22% 8% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 8% -9.7%
10% -18.2% 8% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 6% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 6% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records