Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:31:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xcc56…d67b crypto 968 markets active 6h ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate46%440W / 526L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day75.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$32
14 days−$39
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -6.8% -15.7% 30% 16% -12.6%
≤30d 966 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 12% -11.9%
≤90d 966 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 12% -11.9%
all 966 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 12% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 12% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 3% -20.4%
15% -27.5% 2% -28.1%
20% -34.6% 1% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses440 / 526
Open positions0
Markets (closed)966 / 968
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day75.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 966 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$10 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $27 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $44 −$14 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $16 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $35 +$26 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records