Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:12:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xcc6a…922b crypto 909 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$612 (+2%) realized +$612 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%867W / 42L
Drawdown52%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day34.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$231
14 days+$147
30 days+$423
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$519
sports 0% −$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +1.0% -8.6% 95% 5% -6.3%
≤30d 822 +0.9% -8.7% 95% 5% -8.5%
≤90d 909 +1.3% -8.3% 95% 5% -8.3%
all 909 +1.3% -8.3% 95% 5% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 5% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$43 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$612
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses867 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)909 / 909
History coverage36d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 909 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $141 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $109 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $180 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $53 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $77 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $177 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $109 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $65 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $65 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $69 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $162 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $77 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $106 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $170 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $110 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $103 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$7 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $124 +$4 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $141 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $33 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $180 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $47 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $39 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $53 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $13 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $22 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $36 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $77 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $109 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $26 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $65 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $102 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $101 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $65 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.32 · official $0.00 · 2130 history records