Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc75…5598
crypto · 398 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$286 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$285 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$285
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses130 / 266
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)396 / 398
History coverage243d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days+$46
14 days−$8
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week? No 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$59 +2778%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$4 +614%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Jun 08 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$3 -50%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Jun 05 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +1%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +18%
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +22%
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +18%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +29%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $1 +$8 +641%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$9 +443%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$98
world 17% −$74
other 9% −$84
sports 8% −$14
politics 3% +$1
finance 2% −$2
tech 1% −$10
culture 0% −$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +31.7% +19.2% 29% 29% +33.3%
≤30d 107 +12.5% +1.8% 44% 37% -10.0%
≤90d 357 -18.5% -26.3% 30% 25% -31.1%
all 396 -13.8% -22.0% 33% 27% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 27% -24.5%
10% -29.5% 23% -31.8%
15% -36.3% 20% -38.4%
20% -42.5% 17% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.51 · official $39.51 (match) · 1503 history records